Artificial Intelligence · 13.08.2026, 09:10 UTC
A Factor Graph Approach to Scalable Multi-Output Gaussian Process Regression
| Schweregrad | info |
|---|---|
| Kategorie | Artificial Intelligence |
| Quelle | arXiv cs.LG ↗ |
| Veröffentlicht | 13.08.2026 UTC |
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arXiv:2608.11917v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-output Gaussian process regression scales cubically in the number of observations times outputs, and dense kernel-matrix methods need bespoke handling whenever different outputs are observed at different inputs. We express multi-output Gaussian process regression as a Forney-style factor graph in which a nearest-neighbor chain orders a fixed candidate set of $C$ inputs into a one-dimensional sequence. Along this chain, latent Mat\'ern processes evolve through linear-Gaussian transition factors, while the linear model of coregionalization mixes $L$ latent processes into $D$ outputs through a deterministic mixing factor and per-output scalar observation factors. Posterior computation reduces to exact Gaussian message passing on the chain at cost $\mathcal{O}(C(DL^2 + L^3))$ after chain construction, and missing observations omit their local factor without any covariance-matrix restructuring. The formulation therefore scales in the number of data samples and in the rate of missing observations, while remaining best suited to candidate sets in low input dimension.We compare the factor-graph formulation against an exact kernel-matrix baseline, a sparse-variational inducing-point baseline, and a nearest-neighbor baseline on a synthetic input-dimension sweep and on electricity time series forecasting. At low input dimension the factor-graph posterior tracks the exact kernel-matrix posterior closely, and the gap grows gradually as input dimension increases while staying competitive with both approximate baselines. On the …