LLM Router: Rethinking Routing with Prefill Activations

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arXiv:2603.20895v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Existing routers rely on semantic query features or handcrafted features, which often fail to capture model-specific failures or intrinsic task difficulty. We instead route using internal LLM activations, specifically the residual stream. Our key idea, Encoder-Target Decoupling, separates the model that produces the predictive signal (the Encoder) from the model whose correctness is being estimated (the Target), allowing open-weight encoders to predict the performance of closed-source target models. We evaluate layerwise geometric probes, finding that Fisher Separability ($J$) effectively identifies informative layers, supported by Effective Dimensionality ($d_{\mathrm{eff}}$) diagnostics. We then utilize a SharedTrunkNet, a joint multi-output MLP that predicts simultaneous correctness probabilities across candidate models using concatenated prefill features. In our experiments, SharedTrunkNet consistently outperforms semantic baselines. At its best, SharedTrunkNet closes 45.58% of the gap between the strongest standalone model and the oracle while achieving 74.31% cost savings relative to the most expensive model. These results demonstrate that prefill activations provide a robust routing signal, establishing activation-based routing as a high-performance alternative to purely semantic selection.

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