“Open weights are nowhere near a sufficient solution”: Dario Amodei fires back on AI power

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The independence developers gain from open weights comes with a hard infrastructure ceiling, according to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei.

“AI is structurally a technology that tends to concentrate power, for reasons that have nothing to do with regulation,” Amodei wrote during a public exchange on X with investor Gavin Baker. He attributed that concentration to scaling laws rather than government policy.

“Open-weights do help some with this but are nowhere near a sufficient solution because they simply shift the concentration somewhat to those with the most compute and chips,” he added.

What began as an argument over whether regulation makes AI safer or gives too much power to a handful of companies left developers with a practical question once again: Does owning the weights provide real independence when someone else still controls the compute?

“Open-weights do help some with this but are nowhere near a sufficient solution because they simply shift the concentration somewhat to those with the most compute and chips.”

Regulation without regulatory capture

Gavin Baker, managing partner at Atreides Management, framed the debate as a choice between concentrating powerful models among a few regulated companies or distributing them widely without the same guardrails, citing Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s argument that placing AI in the hands of a small number of supposedly responsible organizations creates its own danger.

“The notion that AI is so dangerous that the only safe path is an extreme concentration of power seems inherently problematic,” Zuckerberg wrote in the …

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